Kolbe A. Dumas

Kolbe A. Dumas

PhD Student, Political Science

University of Houston

Public Policy · Methodology · AI Governance

About

I am a PhD student in Political Science at the University of Houston, specializing in Public Policy and Quantitative Methodology. My research examines how governments adopt, implement, and govern emerging technologies, with a particular focus on artificial intelligence in U.S. state and local institutions.

My work sits at the intersection of public policy, political methodology, and administrative governance. I study how political signals, institutional incentives, and bureaucratic capacity shape the adoption of AI systems and related technologies across government. Substantively, my research focuses on AI procurement, policy diffusion, executive agenda setting, and institutional responses to technological shocks.

Methodologically, I employ causal inference, computational social science, and quantitative policy analysis, drawing on approaches including event-history modeling, quasi-experimental designs, text analysis, and machine learning to evaluate public-sector technological change under uncertainty.

Prior to doctoral study, I earned a Master of Public Policy and a Bachelor of Science in Applied Quantitative Sciences from Arizona State University.

Research

Under Review

Ballot Caps vs. Slate Size: How the 5-Candidate Cap Affects Ballot Completion in New York City's Ranked Choice Voting

From Salience to Solicitation: ChatGPT and State Demand for AI Procurement

Working Papers

Do Participatory Campaign Finance Reforms Polarize? Evidence from the Seattle Democracy Voucher Program

with Michael Kistner, Mellissa Meisels, and Lautaro Cruz

In Progress

The Diffusion of Artificial Intelligence Adoption and Governance Across U.S. States

Measuring Gubernatorial AI Policy Prioritization: The AI Policy Agenda Index

Correcting Implementation Error in LLM-Assisted Quantitative Social Science

Education

Expected 2028

PhD in Political Science

Public Policy and Methodology

University of Houston

2022

Master of Public Policy

Arizona State University

2021

Bachelor of Science

Applied Quantitative Sciences

Arizona State University