Kolbe A. Dumas

Kolbe A. Dumas

PhD Candidate, Political Science

University of Houston

Government AI · Public Policy · Quantitative Methods

About

I am a PhD candidate in Political Science at the University of Houston, specializing in public policy and quantitative methodology. I study how governments pursue artificial intelligence and how their priorities become administrative action.

My research centers on AI procurement in U.S. state and local government. I use solicitation records to study how priorities spread across governments and policy areas, how agency missions shape the capabilities officials request, and whether executive agendas influence bureaucratic demand. These records make an early stage of government AI adoption visible, before systems are purchased or deployed.

My methods training focuses on causal inference and machine learning. I also use language models to measure what agencies request in procurement documents. I apply the same attention to research design in other institutional settings, including a threshold-based observational study of administrative election records.

Prior to doctoral study, I earned a Master of Public Policy and a Bachelor of Science in Applied Quantitative Sciences from Arizona State University.

Research

I study government AI through procurement, tracing how policy priorities spread and how agencies define the technologies they seek. Across projects, I match quantitative research designs and claims to the variation the data can support.

Submitted

Ballot Caps and Candidate Fields: Completion in New York City Ranked Choice Voting

Submitted to American Politics Research. Download working paper (PDF)

State Procurement of AI: Diffusion, Collaboration, and Policy Implementation

Submitted to Policy Studies Journal. Download working paper (PDF)

Working Papers

Do Participatory Campaign Finance Reforms Polarize? Evidence from the Seattle Democracy Voucher Program

Michael Kistner, Mellissa Meisels, Kolbe A. Dumas, and Lautaro Cruz

Research in Progress

AI Policy Agenda Index (APAI)

Developing a state-year measure of gubernatorial AI prioritization and policy orientation, then using it to estimate how executive prioritization affects downstream AI procurement.

OBBBA: SNAP and Medicaid Procurement

Transition at the Top: Gubernatorial Partisan Turnover, Administrative Burden, and SNAP Take-Up

Kolbe A. Dumas, Ling Zhu, and Aparajita Datta

Research Software

Education

Expected 2028

PhD Candidate in Political Science

Public Policy and Methodology

University of Houston

2022

Master of Public Policy

Arizona State University

2021

Bachelor of Science

Applied Quantitative Sciences

Arizona State University